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Tokyo Marathon

Sunday, March 7, 2027 · Tokyo, Japan

Updated May 2026

Technical flatness — no major climbs but constant micro-undulations and sharp urban turns prevent settling into monotonous cadence. Lottery acceptance rate ~2.5%, among the hardest WMMs to enter.

Kenyan Running Difficulty Index2.4 / 10How the course actually runs
Kenyan Running Elite Field Index8.0 / 10How deep the field around you is

The score breakdown

The Kenyan Running Difficulty Index combines four weighted factors. The heaviest weight (35%) is on Tactical Brutality. That is what a Kenyan coach watches first: where the field actually blows up.

Topographic Stress (30% weight)2.2 / 30
Atmospheric Stress (20% weight)4.1 / 20
Course Friction (15% weight)5.5 / 15
Tactical Brutality (35% weight)10.0 / 35
  • Low humidity (30-49%) is unusual for major marathons and benefits Atmospheric Stress score.

Score confidence: preliminary. Computed from public course, weather, and prize data; calibration against 5K split data and coach review is in progress.

Course profile

Elevation gain
60m / 200ft
Elevation loss
98m / 321ft
Surface
paved smooth
Late-stage climbs (after mile 18)
None statistically significant; course is riddled with micro-ascents throughout.
Profile notes
Aggressively front-loaded downhill start, then flat mid-race stretches.

Race day

Date
Sunday, March 7, 2027
Field size
37,500
Entry
Lottery system with ~2.5% acceptance rate.

Weather (historical)

Median temp
10°C
Temp range
9°C to 16°C
Humidity
30-49%
Wind
~6 mph north

Prize money

Total purse
$750,000+
Winner
$80K
2nd / 3rd
$30K / $15K
World record bonus
$200K
Time bonuses
Unique split-time bonuses at the 10km mark to incentivize leading pacers.

Course records

Men's record2:02:16Benson Kipruto (KEN), 2024
Women's record2:14:29Brigid Kosgei (KEN), 2026

Recent winners

Top East African winners (Kenya, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Uganda) across the last 10 verified editions: 10 men, 9 women.

YearMen's winnerTimeWomen's winnerTime
2026Tadese Takele (ETH)2:03:37Brigid Kosgei (KEN)2:14:29
2025Tadese Takele (ETH)2:03:23Sutume Kebede (ETH)2:16:31
2024Benson Kipruto (KEN)2:02:16Sutume Kebede (ETH)2:15:55
2023Deso Gelmisa (ETH)2:05:22Rosemary Wanjiru (KEN)2:16:28
2022Eliud Kipchoge (KEN)2:02:40Brigid Kosgei (KEN)2:16:02
2020Birhanu Legese (ETH)2:04:15Lonah Chemtai Salpeter (ISR)2:17:45
2019Birhanu Legese (ETH)2:04:48Ruti Aga (ETH)2:20:40
2018Dickson Chumba (KEN)2:05:30Birhane Dibaba (ETH)2:19:51
2017Wilson Kipsang (KEN)2:03:58Sarah Chepchirchir (KEN)2:19:47
2016Feyisa Lilesa (ETH)2:06:56Helah Kiprop (KEN)2:21:27

Training for Tokyo Marathon?

A static plan is a starting point. What changes when a Kenyan coach reads your week-by-week training is the part a generic plan can't do. Take the free 5-question quiz to get matched.